A new provincial poll shows a continuing decline in support for the Ford government.
The survey conducted by Liaison Strategies during the last week of March finds the gap between the governing Conservatives and the leaderless Liberals is down to just three percent.
“It would be a minority PC government with these numbers,” David Valentin, principal at Liaison Strategies, tells 680 NewsRadio, who notes that the trend has been negative for “a very long time now.”
“It was November that things began to shift significantly. For a long time, we’ve been doing issues polling here in Ontario, and people will tell us, ‘I hate this policy from Doug Ford, but I’m voting for him.’ Now it seems that these policy changes are catching up to them.”
After a Liaison poll showed the Ford government with a 10-point lead back in May 2025, subsequent surveys have shown a decline in Conservative support among voters.
“For a while there, Doug Ford was enjoying a honeymoon period. His numbers are now down to 39 per cent; the lowest we’ve ever had him at is 38 per cent,” explained Valentin.
The poll also showed NDP support up slightly to 18 per cent, while the Green Party remained steady at five per cent.
The polling reveals some recent policy moves by the Ford government may be to blame for the decline.
“We asked Ontarians what they thought about this retroactive move to keep away the Premier’s records, the cabinet’s records from Freedom of Information requests. Overwhelmingly, Ontarians are telling us this is not something that they support, said Valentin, pointing out that almost two-thirds oppose this move.
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The poll also finds there is opposition to the government’s decision not to disclose hallway healthcare data.
“Despite Ontario Health’s decision to stop public reporting of hallway healthcare statistics in favour of internal monitoring, 70 per cent of Ontarians believe the government should continue to report these figures to the public,” notes Valentin.
“The data shows a clear message from Ontarians: they want more accountability, not less. Whether it’s healthcare statistics, class sizes, or ministerial records, there is a strong consensus across the province that public reporting must be maintained.”
The next provincial election is not scheduled to be held until April 2030 unless the Premier decides to call another early election.
Liaison surveyed a random sample of 1,000 Ontarians from March 27-29, 2026, using Interactive Voice Recording (IVR) technology. For the total sample, the margin of error is ±3.1 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.