Three Decades Later: Quebecers Reluctant About Another Independence Vote
A recent survey by Léger-Journal de Montréal reveals that a majority of Quebec residents are opposed to the idea of holding another sovereignty referendum. The poll indicates that approximately two-thirds of Quebecers would vote against independence if a referendum were to take place today, with only about one-third in favor.
Despite the Parti Québécois (PQ) emphasizing the importance of a new referendum by 2030, the survey shows that less than 25% of respondents support the idea. Pollster Jean-Marc Léger suggests that the PQ’s increased popularity is more a result of voter dissatisfaction rather than a genuine desire for sovereignty.
The survey highlights that most Quebecers are more concerned about everyday issues such as housing expenses, food prices, and inflation rather than discussions about Quebec’s place within Canada. Even among PQ supporters, there is unease about the prospect of another referendum.
Furthermore, the poll reveals that a majority of respondents do not believe that independence would lead to improvements in healthcare, education, or the economy. The primary perceived benefit of sovereignty mentioned was the preservation of the French language.
Doubts about Quebec’s financial viability as an independent entity also surfaced among respondents. Moreover, fewer individuals today primarily identify as Quebecers compared to three decades ago, with influences like U.S. President Donald Trump’s talk of a potential 51st state affecting the sense of belonging to Canada.
While the current support for independence hovers around 35%, similar to levels before the 1995 referendum, Léger notes that it is uncertain whether this sentiment will increase. Historically, support for sovereignty surged during the campaign leading up to the 1995 referendum.
The poll, conducted online from September 26 to 28, surveyed 1,037 Quebec residents aged 18 and above, with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.04% and a confidence level of 95%.
