Toronto is bidding farewell to the golden sunshine of early October as the city gears up for a shift in weather just in time for the Thanksgiving long weekend. Cloud cover is set to take center stage in the upcoming days, with rain anticipated on Saturday.
While daytime temperatures will hold steady around 15 to 16 °C during the holiday weekend, the clear blue skies that characterized the beginning of the month are making way for a more typical autumn weather pattern.
The first half of October spoiled locals with what felt like “bonus summer days,” boasting plenty of sunshine, cool mornings, and pleasant afternoons.
However, this pleasant weather streak is about to come to an end. Friday is expected to be mostly cloudy, setting the scene for a wet Saturday. Weather forecasts indicate a 70% chance of showers on October 11, with grey skies extending into Sunday and Monday.
Although the amount of rainfall is predicted to be modest, the timing might impact outdoor plans and travel arrangements for the Thanksgiving weekend.
For those looking forward to family gatherings, nature hikes, or trips to the countryside, the silver lining is that temperatures will remain mild for mid-October. With highs of 15–16 °C and nighttime lows in the single digits in the forecast until Monday, the weather will be comfortable despite the absence of sun.
On Thanksgiving Monday (October 13), more cloud cover is anticipated, with only a slight possibility of showers.
This shift signals a return to typical autumn weather in southern Ontario. On average, Toronto experiences about seven to eight rainy days in October, with temperatures gradually dropping from the high teens at the beginning of the month to the low teens by the end.
Explore Toronto’s extended forecast and join the CityNews Weather Guarantee for updates on the changing weather conditions.

